Toy Story 5 Box Office Predictions Show That 1 Hollywood Movie Trend Isn’t Ending

Toy Story 5‘s box office predictions are unsurprisingly very strong. The latest look at the movie’s projected earnings shows that one major Hollywood trend isn’t going anywhere.

Ahead of the highly anticipated film’s release on June 19, 2026, the film is projected to do very well at the box office. An early box office forecast for the highly anticipated Pixar movie has the film earning $150 million to $175 million in its domestic opening weekend from June 19 to June 21.

This is already an increase from a prior prediction last week that had this range going from $130 million to $160 million, suggesting the film could earn even more as we get closer to its release. To put this in perspective, the highest domestic opener in 2026 is the $131 million for Nintendo and Illumination’s The Super Mario Galaxy Movie. If this prediction holds, it would be the biggest domestic start for any Toy Story film, well above Toy Story 4’s $120 million and Toy Story 3’s $110 million.

The movie’s massive projected success is not too surprising, and shows that the Hollywood trend of IPs and franchises dominating isn’t as over as many think.

Toy Story 5’s box office predictions shows the love of IP isn’t going anywhere

This year, the story of the box office at Hollywood has been that of the original movie. Films like Obsession, Backrooms, The Drama, and more have been extremely successful, and have sparked a new conversation about whether or not IPs or established franchises have the power they once did. This has only grown stronger following the releases of things like Masters of the Universe, a movie about a very strong IP that has performed poorly at the box office.

While there will always be lulls in years of movies, the idea that IP and franchises don’t have any strength is an unfounded one. Franchises like Toy Story, the upcoming next Spider-Man movie, and countless other projects this year all will likely be successful at the box office, and due in part because of the previous connections fans have with the property. Movies like Toy Story are always going to be successful, but the conversation should be about finding a happy middleground versus leaning fully one way or another.

Established properties like the MCU, Disney’s various movies, or even new franchises like something like Five Nights at Freddy’s are going to be successful, this is just a fact. However, that doesn’t mean that every single project Hollywood produces should be tied to a recognizable property. Instead of trying to dig up older properties to make a movie simply off of name value, we should learn from the success of 2026, and lean into established, previously successful movie franchises, while also letting new and original films shine.

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