The second weekend is where an opening stops being a debate and becomes a verdict, and Supergirl‘s verdict is in. Nobody came back.
Per Deadline’s Friday estimates, Supergirl is heading for a $10 million second weekend, a 73% nosedive from its opening. That drops it to fourth place, and its ten-day domestic total will sit around $48.8 million by Sunday.
Fourth place is its own story. Supergirl didn’t just lose to Minions & Monsters and Toy Story 5, the family juggernauts.
It lost to Young Washington, the Angel Studios historical biopic that was projected for $15 million and is beating it with an estimated $16 to $17 million.
A faith-based indie about the Father of Our Country, one critics only shrugged at while audiences scored it 92%, is outdrawing a $170 million DC tentpole in its second weekend.
Audiences keep telling Hollywood what they want, and it keeps not being this. And lines up exactly as our insiders just said about Disney and Netflix.
The drop in context
A 73% second-weekend drop puts Supergirl in very specific company.
Deadline notes it matches The Flash exactly and only beats Joker: Folie a Deux‘s 81% collapse. Line it up against the genre’s recent bombs and it gets worse.
Supergirl‘s 73% is a steeper fall than Madame Web at 61.4%, Black Adam at 59%, Shazam! Fury of the Gods at 69%, and Birds of Prey at 48%. It’s essentially tied with Morbius at 73.8%. The only comic book disasters it holds up better than are The Marvels at 78.1% and Joker 2.
Supergirl is dropping like Morbius and The Flash. That’s the shelf it lives on now.
The math just got uglier
The collapse lands hardest on the loss projections.
Variety’s sources projected Supergirl stalling at $100 million domestic, and even that assumed what they called a decent hold.
A 73% drop is not a decent hold. At $48.8 million through ten days with these legs, the domestic run is now tracking well short of that, and the $200 million worldwide threshold, the line both trades say separates a big loss from an even bigger write-down, is moving out of reach. it’s also questioned if Supergirl will hit $100M worldwide by the end of the weekend.
The overseas number was already getting cut before the weekend started.
DC watched this movie test in the 60s for eight months, released it anyway, and the audience has now rendered the same score twice, once at the box office on opening weekend and again by not coming back.
Supergirl box office as of Wednesday July 1:
Grosses
- Domestic (57.4%): $46,570,096
- International (42.6%): $34,500,000
- Worldwide: $81,070,096
Weekend
Jun 26-28: #2 at $37,102,018
Dailies
- Friday $18,401,264
- Saturday $10,800,342 -41.3%
- Sunday $7,900,412 -26.9%
- Monday $2,909,864 -63.2%
- Tuesday $4,424,752 +52.1%
- Wednesday $2,133,462 -51.8%
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